The Setback

Interactive

One building. Every city's assumptions.

Return on cost is what a finished building earns each year, divided by what it cost to build. The number alone means little. What matters is how it compares to the rate that finished buildings of the same type actually trade at. That difference is the value a developer creates by building rather than buying. Ground-up apartments generally need at least 1.25 percentage points of cushion to attract investors. So each city's threshold here is the rate its finished buildings trade at, plus 1.25 points. Below that line, the money goes somewhere else. The benchmark preset is the same building with none of the frictions this publication studies: cheap land, fast permits, cheap debt.

Pro Forma Calculator

40-Unit Multifamily, Modeled by City

One hypothetical building, sized and priced to each city's own conditions. Every input carries a source.

40 units·35,178 sq ft·$16,328,290 total·$408,207 per unit
$2,400,000
Estimate
$275
Verified range
20.0%
Estimate
14 mo
Estimate
18 mo
Estimate
8.00%
Verified range
$2,450
Verified
7.0%
Derived
$9,500
Estimate
5.25%
Verified range
1.25%
Estimate
City assumptions
10.0 × studio
484 SF
22.0 × one-br
697 SF
8.0 × two-br
996 SF
Verified
40
Assumption
80%
Estimate
0.50/unit
Estimate
$35,000
Verified
10%
Verified
$1,550/mo
Estimate
0.85%
Verified
3%
Estimate

Return on cost

3.72%

Earns3.72%

Needs6.50%

Total development cost
$16,328,290
Of which, entitlement carry (land only)
$224,000
Of which, construction carry (avg. draw)
$775,715
Effective gross income
$1,085,109
Property tax (solved iteratively)
$98,253
Stabilized annual NOI
$606,856
Implied stabilized value
$11,559,166
Value minus cost to build
-$4,769,124